BERGEN COUNTY, N.J. -- The Facebook messages coming in to Jersey Shore Hurricane News range from "N.J. is going to see a direct hit" to "the models are now taking the storm out to sea -- we're cool," so what does one of the country's most popular destinations for weather information say?
"Just. Be. Prepared."
With reports changing following National Weather Center updates is a good move, NJHN creator Justin Auciello says.
At the very least, it keeps us on our toes, he says -- just in case a nor'easter due to blow in Friday tag-teams us with Hurricane Joaquin.Auciello launched Jersey Shore Hurricane News in the days preceding Hurricane Irene and has nurtured it to 226,960 likes by aiming to provide reliable information about breaking news, traffic -- and, of course, weather -- as it happens.
According to him, this much was true late this afternoon:
" We'll definitely be dealing with nor'easter-like conditions (with possibly a break in the heavy rain for most of Saturday) through Sunday, featuring windy conditions and moderate to possibly major tidal flooding. That's due to strong high pressure to the north and a front to the south, creating an onshore flow.
"It's not related to Joaquin.
"Forecasters still do not know Joaquin's ultimate outcome, which is now a Category 4 hurricane with 130 mph winds. The current NHC track is for a tropical storm (much weaker than the current status) off NJ on Tuesday morning.
"That could, of course, change, and even if we're on the fringe of Joaquin, impacts are still possible (considering we'd be coming off nor'easter-like conditions)."
"For inland locations along rivers, the National Weather Service says that significant river flooding is 'likely' in far South Jersey and 'possible' for the rest of the state. That's due to very heavy rain in the forecast.
"We're dealing with one and potential two weather impacts. Let's hope it's ONLY just one, since we'll be weakened for the second.
"If it turns out that nothing happens, so be it," Auciello said. "You can say I was being too cautious.
"But at least you were prepared."
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